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ASO Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Cup-and-Handle Inverse ASO on January 13, 2025, netting in a 13.47% gain over 3 weeks

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+13.47% Gain from a Successful pattern Cup-and-Handle Inverse
ASO - Academy Sports and Outdoors
Tickeron
Ticker: ASO
Company: Academy Sports and Outdoors
Gain from shortening: +13.47%
Confirmed: 01/13/25
Succeeded: 02/03/25
Total length: 26 days
On January 08, 2025, A.I.dvisor detected a Cup-and-Handle Inverse Pattern (Bearish) for Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO, $58.86). 5 days later, on January 13, 2025, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On February 03, 2025, the stock hit the target price of $50.96 – resulting in a +1 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

ASO in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on February 06, 2025

The 10-day moving average for ASO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASO as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASO turned negative on February 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ASO moved below its 50-day moving average on January 31, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ASO entered a downward trend on February 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for ASO moved above the 200-day moving average on February 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASO advanced for three days, in of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.541) is normal, around the industry mean (12.572). P/E Ratio (9.963) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.860). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.688) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.840) is also within normal values, averaging (19.519).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ASO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ASO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1800 North Mason Road
Phone
+1 281 646-5200
Employees
22011
Web
https://www.academy.com