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AUTL Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Bottom AUTL on January 29, 2025, netting in a 10.28% gain over 1 week

A.I.dvisor
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+10.28% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Bottom
AUTL - Autolus Therapeutics plc
Tickeron
Ticker: AUTL
Company: Autolus Therapeutics plc
Gain from shortening: +10.28%
Confirmed: 01/29/25
Succeeded: 02/10/25
Total length: 12 days
On January 29, 2025, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Bottom Pattern (Bearish) for Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL, $2.14). On January 29, 2025, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On February 10, 2025, the stock hit the target price of $1.91 – resulting in a +1 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

Momentum Indicator for AUTL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

AUTL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on January 16, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 85 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AUTL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AUTL entered a downward trend on February 14, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AUTL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AUTL just turned positive on February 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where AUTL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AUTL advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AUTL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.088) is normal, around the industry mean (12.481). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (84.446). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.603). AUTL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.012). P/S Ratio (44.843) is also within normal values, averaging (251.221).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AUTL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AUTL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

a developer of cancer treatments

Industry Biotechnology

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Biotechnology
Address
191 Wood Lane
Phone
+44 2038296230
Employees
471
Web
https://www.autolus.com