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AVA
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Capitalization
2.46B

AVA Avista Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a distributor of energy and related businesses

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AVA with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 28, 2023

AVA sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

AVA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 27, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 25, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVA as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVA advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AVA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 202 cases where AVA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.023) is normal, around the industry mean (1.559). P/E Ratio (16.639) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.131). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.712) is also within normal values, averaging (2.476). Dividend Yield (0.057) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.393) is also within normal values, averaging (3.163).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AVA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AVA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nextera Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE), Southern Company (The) (NYSE:SO), PG&E Corp (NYSE:PCG), Dominion Energy (NYSE:D), NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG).

Industry description

Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electric Utilities Industry is 16.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 500 to 115.51B. NEE holds the highest valuation in this group at 115.51B. The lowest valued company is SLTZ at 500.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. HAWEL experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while ELIAF experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was 44%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 51% and the average quarterly volume growth was 22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 40
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

AVA is expected to report earnings to rise 131.75% to 18 cents per share on November 08

Avista Corp AVA Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$0.19
Q2'23
Missed
by $0.07
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.35
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.27
Q3'22
Missed
by $0.23
The last earnings report on August 02 showed earnings per share of 7 cents, missing the estimate of 15 cents. With 1.24M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.46B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

AVA paid dividends on September 15, 2023

Avista Corp AVA Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.46 per share was paid with a record date of September 15, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of August 17, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributor of energy and related businesses

Industry ElectricUtilities

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electric Utilities
Address
1411 East Mission Avenue
Phone
+1 509 489-0500
Employees
1767
Web
https://www.avistacorp.com
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AVA and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVA has been closely correlated with POR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AVA jumps, then POR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AVA
1D Price
Change %
AVA100%
+0.84%
POR - AVA
72%
Closely correlated
-0.44%
NWE - AVA
71%
Closely correlated
+0.38%
IDA - AVA
71%
Closely correlated
-0.44%
BKH - AVA
68%
Closely correlated
+0.08%
LNT - AVA
68%
Closely correlated
+0.81%
More

Groups containing AVA

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AVA
1D Price
Change %
AVA100%
+0.84%
AVA
(undefined stocks)
79%
Closely correlated
+0.39%
utility
(undefined stocks)
74%
Closely correlated
-0.25%
electric power
(undefined stocks)
74%
Closely correlated
-0.09%
Utilities
(undefined stocks)
71%
Closely correlated
+0.20%
electricity transmission
(undefined stocks)
71%
Closely correlated
+0.18%
More