AVDL Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AVDL's RSI Indicator reaching into overbought territory

The RSI Oscillator for AVDL moved into overbought territory on August 07, 2025. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where AVDL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVDL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AVDL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 06, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AVDL as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVDL just turned positive on August 07, 2025. Looking at past instances where AVDL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AVDL moved above its 50-day moving average on July 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AVDL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 15, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for AVDL moved above the 200-day moving average on July 31, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVDL advanced for three days, in of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 158 cases where AVDL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AVDL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AVDL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (17.182) is normal, around the industry mean (64.082). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (89.433). AVDL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.124) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (47.619) is also within normal values, averaging (18.681).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.