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AXGN Stock Axogen (AXGN, $13.27) entered Downtrend as Momentum indicator drops below 0 level on Nov 12, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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AXGN - Axogen
Momentum signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
Momentum signal
Price: $13.27
Daily change: -$0.7 (-5.01%)
Daily volume: 382.8K
Capitalization: $584M
Industry: Medical Specialties
This indicator may be signaling that AXGN's price has further to drop, since it fell below its price logged 14 days ago. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 77 similar cases where AXGN's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

Momentum Indicator for AXGN turns negative, indicating new downward trend

AXGN saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 12, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 77 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AXGN moved out of overbought territory on November 07, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AXGN turned negative on November 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

AXGN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AXGN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 14, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AXGN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AXGN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AXGN advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AXGN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.582) is normal, around the industry mean (22.933). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.945). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.667). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.139) is also within normal values, averaging (43.174).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AXGN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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General Information

a provider of products and technologies for peripheral nerve reconstruction and regeneration

Industry MedicalSpecialties

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Medical Specialties
Address
13631 Progress Boulevard
Phone
+1 386 462-6800
Employees
428
Web
https://www.axogeninc.com