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BBDC Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top BBDC on September 30, 2024, netting in a 5.52% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+5.52% Gain from a Successful pattern Head-and-Shoulders Top
BBDC - Barings BDC
Tickeron
Ticker: BBDC
Company: Barings BDC
Gain from shortening: +5.52%
Confirmed: 09/30/24
Succeeded: 11/04/24
Total length: 46 days
On September 19, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern (Bearish) for Barings BDC (BBDC, $9.96). 11 days later, on September 30, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On November 04, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $9.38 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

BBDC's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for BBDC entered a downward trend on October 21, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 93 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for BBDC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 31, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BBDC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BBDC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BBDC as a result. In of 104 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BBDC just turned positive on November 11, 2024. Looking at past instances where BBDC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BBDC moved above its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BBDC advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BBDC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.818) is normal, around the industry mean (2.751). P/E Ratio (7.692) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.882). BBDC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.172). Dividend Yield (0.112) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.072) is also within normal values, averaging (11.577).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BBDC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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BBDC
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General Information

a private equity fund

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
300 South Tryon Street
Phone
+1 704 805-7200
Employees
26
Web
https://www.barings.com