BHLB Berkshire Hills Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

BHLB in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on November 14, 2023

BHLB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 14, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 45 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 54 cases where BHLB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BHLB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BHLB as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BHLB just turned positive on November 01, 2023. Looking at past instances where BHLB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BHLB moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BHLB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 08, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BHLB advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 208 cases where BHLB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.959) is normal, around the industry mean (1.011). P/E Ratio (9.042) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.407). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.347). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.037) is also within normal values, averaging (2.570).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BHLB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BHLB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.