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May 10, 2023

BK, ($41.54) Likely to Reverse Downtrend After -19.06% Quarterly Drop

Bank of New York Mellon (BK, $41.54) has experienced a sharp decline this quarter, falling -19.06%. However, recent analysis suggests that a downtrend reversal is on the horizon. In this article, we will explore the reasons behind this prediction and discuss the potential implications for investors.

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A.I. Advisor's Analysis of the Investment Managers Industry: A.I.dvisor has analyzed 281 stocks in the Investment Managers Industry over the last three months, ending May 9, 2023. The results indicate that 56 stocks (19.8%) have exhibited an uptrend, while 225 (80.2%) have demonstrated a downtrend. By analyzing 126 similar cases in which BK's price dropped 15% within three months, A.I.dvisor found that in 83 of those cases, BK's price went up during the subsequent month. Based on this historical data, the odds of a downtrend reversal for BK stand at 66%.

BK's RSI Oscillator Signaling a Shift in Trend: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillator for BK moved out of oversold territory on May 5, 2023. This shift indicates that the stock could be transitioning from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may consider buying the stock or purchasing call options in anticipation of this trend reversal. When examining 40 similar instances where the RSI indicator left oversold territory, A.I.dvisor found that in 31 of those cases, the stock moved higher. This data suggests a 77% probability of a move higher.

After experiencing a significant decline this quarter, Bank of New York Mellon (BK, $41.54) appears poised for a trend reversal. With a 66% chance of a downtrend reversal based on historical data and a 77% probability of a move higher as indicated by the RSI oscillator, investors should monitor the stock closely for potential buying opportunities. It is important to note that while these probabilities are promising, market conditions can change rapidly, and investors should always consider multiple factors and perform their due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Related Ticker: BK

Momentum Indicator for BK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

BK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 24, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 42 cases where BK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

BK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BK advanced for three days, in of 367 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BK moved out of overbought territory on September 23, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BK turned negative on October 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BK entered a downward trend on October 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.929) is normal, around the industry mean (1.317). P/E Ratio (15.583) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.091). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.545). BK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.018) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (4.016) is also within normal values, averaging (3.421).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 135.61B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 817.86B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 817.86B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. BCS experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while ABMRF experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 67
P/E Growth Rating: 38
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 26
Seasonality Score: 46 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. BK showed earnings on October 16, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Major Banks
Address
240 Greenwich Street
Phone
+1 212 495-1784
Employees
53400
Web
https://www.bnymellon.com