BLKB Stock Blackbaud (BLKB, $74.29) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned negative on October 30, 2024

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BLKB - Blackbaud

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Odds of DOWN Trend

Price: $74.29

Daily change: -$13.19 (-15.08%)

Daily volume: 436.1K

Industry: Packaged Software

BLKB in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on November 01, 2024

The 10-day moving average for BLKB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 01, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

BLKB moved below its 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLKB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BLKB's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BLKB as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BLKB just turned positive on November 08, 2024. Looking at past instances where BLKB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLKB advanced for three days, in of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BLKB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BLKB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.980) is normal, around the industry mean (30.262). BLKB's P/E Ratio (2510.333) is considerably higher than the industry average of (162.497). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.113) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.660) is also within normal values, averaging (56.493).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BLKB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.