BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

BLV sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

BLV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 29, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BLV moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BLV as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BLV moved below its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BLV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLV advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BLV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 204 cases where BLV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .