BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

BSV's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for BSV entered a downward trend on November 26, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 168 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 168 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BSV moved out of overbought territory on December 10, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 13, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BSV as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BSV turned negative on December 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BSV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BSV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

BSV moved above its 50-day moving average on November 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BSV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 06, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BSV advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .