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CGBD Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Wedge Ascending CGBD on October 31, 2024, netting in a 2.34% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+2.34% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Wedge Ascending
CGBD - Carlyle Secured Lending
Tickeron
Ticker: CGBD
Company: Carlyle Secured Lending
Gain from shortening: +2.34%
Confirmed: 10/31/24
Succeeded: 11/04/24
Total length: 52 days
On September 13, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Wedge Ascending Pattern (Bearish) for Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD, $16.87). 48 days later, on October 31, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On November 04, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $16.52 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

CGBD in -1.88% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on November 15, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where CGBD declined for three days, in of 249 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CGBD turned negative on October 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

CGBD moved below its 50-day moving average on November 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CGBD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 07, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CGBD entered a downward trend on November 20, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CGBD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 42 cases where CGBD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 20, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CGBD as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGBD advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CGBD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.948) is normal, around the industry mean (2.751). P/E Ratio (9.823) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.882). CGBD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.172). Dividend Yield (0.107) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.977) is also within normal values, averaging (11.577).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CGBD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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CGBD
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General Information

a private equity fund

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
One Vanderbilt Avenue
Phone
+1 212 813-4900
Employees
2200
Web
https://www.carlylesecuredlending.com