CGBD Carlyle Secured Lending Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CGBD in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026

CGBD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 18 of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CGBD moved out of overbought territory on September 01, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 50%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CGBD as a result. In 38 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CGBD turned negative on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 19 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 41%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGBD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

The Aroon Indicator for CGBD entered a downward trend on October 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for CGBD moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +1.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGBD advanced for three days, in 179 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

CGBD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.714) is normal, around the industry mean (3.242). P/E Ratio (21.961) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.802). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.341). Dividend Yield (0.138) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (16.722) is also within normal values, averaging (15.853).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CGBD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.