CGNT Stock Cognyte Software (CGNT, $6.61) entered Downtrend as Momentum indicator drops below 0 level on Oct 25, 2024
at Tickeron.com
CGNT's Stochastic Oscillator reaches into overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for CGNT moved into overbought territory on November 22, 2024. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CGNT moved out of overbought territory on November 22, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGNT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CGNT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CGNT as a result. In of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CGNT just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where CGNT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 34 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CGNT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CGNT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGNT advanced for three days, in of 237 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CGNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CGNT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.087) is normal, around the industry mean (30.427). P/E Ratio (263.158) is within average values for comparable stocks, (162.588). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.895) is also within normal values, averaging (56.764).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
General Information
Industry PackagedSoftware