CMF iShares California Muni Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CMF's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for CMF entered a downward trend on December 31, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 226 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 226 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMF as a result. In of 64 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CMF turned negative on January 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

CMF moved below its 50-day moving average on January 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CMF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 26, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CMF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMF advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CMF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.