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published in Blogs
Jul 22, 2021

Chipotle (CMG, $1,755.30) beats Q2 earnings expectations

Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill  reported second quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations.

The fast casual restaurant chain's  net income came in at $6.60 a share, compared to the $6.50 per share predicted by analysts surveyed by FactSet. The earnings were also higher than the year-ago quarter’s 29 cents. Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $7.46 a share, also topping analysts’ estimate of $6.53; the figure is also above the year-ago quarter’s 40 cents.

Revenue rose +39% year-over-year to $1.89 billion in the quarter, compared to  analysts’ estimate of $1.88 billion.

Chipotle has projected comparable restaurant sales growth in the low- to mid-double digits for  the third quarter.

Chipotle Chief Executive Brian Niccol indicated that the company is optimistic on achieving its goal of $3 million average unit volumes with “industry leading returns” on invested capital that are expected to improve as it continues to add Chipotlane drive-through lanes.

Related Ticker: CMG

CMG in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on May 06, 2025

The 10-day moving average for CMG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMG just turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where CMG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CMG moved above its 50-day moving average on May 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 304 cases where CMG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where CMG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 09, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMG as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CMG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CMG's P/B Ratio (19.608) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.058). P/E Ratio (44.920) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.995). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.185) is also within normal values, averaging (1.803). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.061) is also within normal values, averaging (8.518).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 8.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 224.3B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 224.3B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. STKS experienced the highest price growth at 46%, while GAMN experienced the biggest fall at -43%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 65%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 47% and the average quarterly volume growth was 60%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
610 Newport Center Drive
Phone
+1 949 524-4000
Employees
116068
Web
https://www.chipotle.com