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Oct 11, 2024

Strong Weekly Performance for Diesel Companies

The Diesel Companies segment has displayed a notable increase of +9.44% in performance over the past week. This uptick highlights a positive trend in the sector, encompassing companies involved in the manufacturing of diesel vehicles and the distribution of transportation fuels.

Overview of Diesel Companies

This sector includes a range of businesses that produce and distribute motor fuels, diesel trucks, and engines. Companies like CrossAmerica Partners LP (CAPL) engage in wholesale fuel distribution, Paccar (PCAR) manufactures heavy-duty diesel trucks, and Cummins Inc. (CMI) is a global leader in producing diesel and natural gas engines. Many companies within this theme also engage in ancillary services such as engine maintenance, fuel system servicing, and emission control technologies. The focus on diesel vehicles and their associated fuel systems continues to drive momentum in the market as industries such as logistics, construction, and freight rely heavily on diesel-powered machinery.

Market Capitalization Across the Diesel Theme

The average market capitalization of companies within the diesel theme is $36.8 billion, ranging from as small as $1.2 million to as large as $181.6 billion. Notably, Caterpillar (CAT) holds the highest valuation in this group, standing at a staggering $181.6 billion, making it a prominent player in the diesel and heavy machinery segment. On the opposite side of the spectrum, CDTI (Clean Diesel Technologies Inc.) is valued at just $1.2 million, representing the lower end of the diesel market.

Price Performance

The diesel theme has seen moderate growth in its stock prices. The average weekly price increase across all stocks in the diesel theme stood at 2.61%. On a broader scale, the theme experienced an average monthly price growth of 6.57% and a quarterly increase of 5.98%. Among the top performers, CrossAmerica Partners LP (CAPL) saw a notable +3.26% price growth this past week. Conversely, Clean Diesel Technologies (CDTI) experienced a significant drop of -13.64%, making it the biggest laggard in the sector.

Notable Movements in Diesel Stocks

  • Caterpillar (CAT): On September 18, 2024, CAT's stock price reached $353.69, gaining +5.84% and emerging as a top weekly gainer. However, just a few weeks prior, on September 6, 2024, the stock had dipped by -5.14%, highlighting its volatility over short timeframes.

  • Paccar (PCAR): PCAR, another significant player, experienced a sharp decline on July 24, 2024, when its stock price fell -10.83% to $97.1, marking it as a top loser during that period.

Volume Trends

The diesel theme also showed fluctuating trading volumes. Weekly volume growth saw a sharp decline of -34.46%, while the monthly volume shrank by -6.22%. Over the quarter, the overall volume decreased by -4.98%. However, there were instances where individual stocks bucked this trend:

  • Paccar (PCAR) had a 226% surge in volume growth for one day on March 16, 2024, breaking a record relative to its 65-day moving average.
  • Kirby (KEX), another important stock within the theme, also posted impressive results on September 20, 2023, with a 112% volume increase over four consecutive days.

Positive Technical Indicators for Key Diesel Stocks

Several stocks in the diesel sector are signaling potential upward trends based on technical indicators.

  1. Paccar (PCAR): As of September 19, 2024, PCAR's price moved above its 50-day moving average, indicating a possible trend reversal to the upside. Historically, in 38 out of 50 past instances, the stock has continued to rise after crossing this threshold, with 76% odds of further gains in the next month.

  2. Caterpillar (CAT): On September 17, 2024, CAT’s momentum indicator turned positive, suggesting a potential for continued upward movement. This technical change presents a bullish signal for investors, with a 70% probability of further price appreciation.

  3. Kirby (KEX): KEX also showed a positive technical trend when its 10-day moving average crossed above its 50-day moving average on September 19, 2024. Historically, KEX has a 90% chance of continued gains in the following month when this pattern occurs.

Summary: A Resilient Diesel Sector

The diesel theme continues to demonstrate strength, bolstered by key players such as Caterpillar, Paccar, and Cummins, which are essential to industries reliant on heavy machinery and transportation. Despite some volatility in individual stock performances, the overall sector outlook remains positive, driven by strong technical indicators and steady market capitalization growth. Investors interested in the diesel segment might find this a compelling time to explore opportunities in companies with proven track records and positive technical signals.

Related Ticker: CAPL, PCAR, CAT, CMI, KEX

CAPL's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for CAPL moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 14 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 14 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CAPL as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CAPL just turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where CAPL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CAPL moved above its 50-day moving average on April 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAPL advanced for three days, in of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 275 cases where CAPL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for CAPL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAPL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CAPL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CAPL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAPL's P/B Ratio (294.118) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (9.385). P/E Ratio (21.886) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.032). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). Dividend Yield (0.091) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.200) is also within normal values, averaging (0.487).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO).

Industry description

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry is 8.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107.69K to 73.66B. MPC holds the highest valuation in this group at 73.66B. The lowest valued company is AMCF at 107.69K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. CSAN experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while BDCO experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 38
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 66
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a maker of diesel and natural gas engines

Industry IndustrialMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
500 Jackson Street
Phone
+1 812 377-5000
Employees
75500
Web
https://www.cummins.com