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CMI stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Cummins is a leading manufacturer of diesel and other engines used in heavy- and medium-duty commercial trucks, off-highway equipment, and locomotives, in addition to prime power and standby generators... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
Oct 05, 2026

Cummins (CMI) Stock Analysis: Data-Center Power Demand Offsets a Soft Truck Cycle

Key Takeaways

  • Cummins shares traded near $528 in early October 2026, down roughly 4% from about $551 a month earlier and more than 25% below their 52-week high near $718.
  • The Power Systems segment is the standout growth engine, with second-quarter 2026 revenue up 19% year over year on surging data-center power demand.
  • Management has raised its full-year 2026 outlook twice, now targeting 10%–13% revenue growth and an 18%–18.5% EBITDA margin.
  • North American heavy- and medium-duty truck softness continues to pressure the Engine and Components segments.
  • Longer-term 2030 targets call for $45–$50 billion in revenue and $9 billion or more in data-center-related revenue.

Current Market Snapshot

Cummins Inc. (CMI) traded around $528 in early October 2026, reflecting a modest pullback of roughly 4% from the approximately $551 level seen a month earlier. The recent consolidation follows a sharp run in 2026 that carried the stock to a 52-week high near $718 before profit-taking and macro uncertainty took hold. Even after the retracement, shares remain well above year-ago levels, underscoring a broader re-rating driven by the company's expanding role in data-center power.

Investor sentiment around Cummins is now balanced between two competing narratives: a structural, AI-driven power-generation opportunity and a still-soft North American commercial truck cycle. That tension has kept the stock range-bound in recent weeks despite generally constructive fundamental updates from management.

Cummins (CMI) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Founded in 1919 and headquartered in Columbus, Indiana, Cummins is a global power technology leader employing roughly 67,400 people and generating $33.7 billion in revenue in 2025. The company operates through five segments — Engine, Components, Distribution, Power Systems, and Accelera — spanning diesel and natural gas engines, powertrains, filtration, turbochargers, aftertreatment systems, integrated power generation, and zero-emissions technologies.

Cummins' competitive strength lies in its scale, global distribution and service network, and deep relationships with truck and equipment OEMs. While it competes with diversified industrials such as Caterpillar (CAT) and power-generation peers like GE Vernova (GEV), its integrated engine-to-generator portfolio and direct distribution business give it a distinct position, particularly as backup and prime power demand accelerates.

Recent Developments Driving CMI

The most significant recent driver has been demand for power-generation equipment tied to data centers. In its second quarter, reported in early August 2026, Cummins posted record revenue of $9.5 billion, up 9% year over year. Power Systems revenue climbed 19% to a record $2.3 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 24.5%, fueled by backup-power demand from hyperscale data centers in North America, China, and Asia Pacific.

Cummins has reinforced this story with concrete wins: a multiyear agreement with an existing global hyperscaler covering several gigawatts of future backup-power demand, and a June 2026 agreement with Circe Energy to supply natural-gas generator sets for a behind-the-meter microgrid serving a high-performance-computing data center in Texas. The company is also investing $450 million to expand high-horsepower capacity by 20 gigawatts, lifting total nameplate capacity to 55 GW by 2030.

At the same time, the legacy business remains a drag. North American heavy- and medium-duty truck demand has stayed soft, pressuring Engine and Components results. Cummins is also managing a measured transition to new X10 and X15 engines ahead of EPA 2027 emissions regulations, and it completed the sale of its low-pressure fuel cell business to narrow Accelera's losses. The company raised its quarterly dividend roughly 10% to $2.00 per share in 2026, reflecting continued confidence in cash generation.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, the central question for Cummins is whether data-center power growth can outpace a still-subdued truck cycle. Key factors to monitor include hyperscaler capital-expenditure trends, the pace of North American heavy-duty truck recovery and any pre-buy activity ahead of the EPA 2027 emissions transition, and the strength of China's construction and data-center markets.

Margin execution will also matter. Management expects second-half 2026 EBITDA percentages to improve relative to the first half, helped by lower incentive-compensation accruals and ongoing power-generation momentum. Investors will also watch Accelera's progress toward narrower losses and any updates to long-term capacity plans. On the macro front, tariffs, interest rates, and inflation remain swing factors for industrial demand. As always, near-term results should be evaluated against the broader multiyear data-center opportunity rather than any single quarter.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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a Summary for CMI with price predictions
Oct 13, 2026

CMI's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMI turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CMI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMI as a result. In 55 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +1.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMI advanced for three days, in 218 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

CMI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 63 cases where CMI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

The 50-day moving average for CMI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator for CMI entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 27 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.549) is normal, around the industry mean (5.342). P/E Ratio (26.474) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.065). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.110) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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published Dividends

CMI paid dividends on September 03, 2026

Cummins CMI Stock Dividends
А dividend of $2.20 per share was paid with a record date of September 03, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of August 21, 2026. Read more...
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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW), Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR), Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC).

Industry description

The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Industrial Machinery Industry is 15.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.71K to 252.96B. GEV holds the highest valuation in this group at 252.96B. The lowest valued company is SPEC at 3.71K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was -7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17%. PSIX experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while GCDT experienced the biggest fall at -70%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -31% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 38 (-100 ... +100)
Cummins (CMI) Stock Analysis: Data-Center Power Demand Offsets a Soft Truck Cycle