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The Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS) is an actively managed fund that seeks capital appreciation by investing at least 80% of its net assets in US companies deriving 50% or more of their revenue from the cannabis and hemp ecosystem. It also uses derivatives, primarily total return swaps, to gain economic exposure to the sector. The fund is non-diversified, launched in 2019, and carries a net expense ratio of 0.76% after fee waivers, with approximately $64 million in assets under management (AUM) and roughly 33 holdings.
Because many of the largest US cannabis operators do not trade on major domestic exchanges, CNBS holds substantial positions in Treasury bills that serve as collateral for swaps providing exposure to multi-state operators (MSOs) — companies licensed to cultivate and sell cannabis across multiple states. Its market allocation is dominated by MSOs at about 85%, followed by real estate, cultivation and retail, and agricultural technology. Key equity exposures include Trulieve Cannabis (TRLV), Curaleaf Holdings, and Green Thumb Industries, alongside ancillary names such as Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) and GrowGeneration (GRWG). This concentrated, swap-driven structure means the fund moves closely with a handful of MSOs, amplifying sector-wide swings in both directions.
Over the last 30 days, CNBS fell approximately 12.7%, from a closing level near $26.13 to about $22.82. The decline was not gradual: the fund had climbed to a recent peak around $30.78 in late September before a sharp, policy-driven selloff in the final days of September carried into October. The move was trend-reversing rather than range-bound, with most of the damage concentrated around a single regulatory event and subsequent headline-driven pressure.
The quarterly picture is somewhat different. From roughly $25.06 three months ago to about $22.82 today, CNBS is down approximately 8.9%. That gap between the 30-day and quarterly figures reflects a mid-quarter rally that was fully reversed, underscoring how quickly sentiment can shift in a sector whose equity valuations remain tightly linked to federal policy expectations.
The dominant driver was regulatory. In late September, a Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) administrative law judge paused the hearing on rescheduling marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III, after opponents invoked a Government Accountability Office (GAO) report citing procedural gaps in the federal review process. Because rescheduling is the central catalyst for US cannabis MSOs — largely for relief from Section 280E tax restrictions and broader institutional access — the delay triggered a broad selloff across the sector.
Leading holdings bore the brunt. Trulieve Cannabis, Curaleaf Holdings, and Green Thumb Industries each posted double-digit percentage declines around the announcement, with smaller swap exposures such as Verano Holdings, Cresco Labs, and Glass House Brands falling in tandem. This concentration meant CNBS tracked those losses closely. In April, the federal government had already rescheduled state-licensed medical cannabis to Schedule III, providing some tax relief, but the October pause pushed back expectations for a broader adult-use reclassification into 2027, weakening near-term sentiment.
The three-month trend has been shaped by an earlier risk-on phase followed by a sharp de-rating. Through the summer, US cannabis equities rallied on optimism around federal reform and improving operator fundamentals, lifting CNBS toward its late-September high. Trulieve's uplisting to the NYSE and its September inclusion in a broad US market index also improved perceived institutional accessibility for the space.
That momentum reversed as the rescheduling timeline extended. The procedural pause reframed the sector from an imminent-catalyst story back to a longer-dated regulatory call, prompting investors to reassess valuations that had partly priced in faster reform. The result was a quarter that began and ended lower even as mid-period strength briefly suggested a breakout, leaving CNBS down roughly 9% over the period.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery platform that helps investors scan thousands of securities using technical indicators, fundamentals, volatility metrics, price patterns, industry filters, and AI-generated signals. It surfaces performance characteristics and trend data so users can identify sector leadership, breakout candidates, and shifting market themes more efficiently than manual screening. For investors tracking themes such as cannabis and other policy-sensitive industries, the platform offers a structured way to monitor evolving conditions. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own watchlists and research workflow.
Going forward, the rescheduling timeline remains the central variable. Investors should monitor DEA procedural developments, including briefing deadlines and any decisions on reopening the hearing, as well as the broader path from Schedule I toward Schedule III and the potential extension of Section 280E relief to adult-use operators. State-level reforms and new market openings, such as adult-use programs in states including Virginia and Texas, could influence individual MSO earnings.
Company fundamentals also matter: revenue growth, free cash flow, balance-sheet deleveraging, and consolidation activity across major holdings will shape relative performance independent of policy headlines. Broader macro conditions, including interest-rate expectations and risk appetite for small- and mid-cap growth equities, remain relevant given the sector's high-beta profile. Finally, institutional capital flows and potential M&A activity — including disputes among operators — could drive volatility. These themes, rather than any single price level, are likely to define CNBS's trajectory in the months ahead.
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The Stochastic Oscillator for CNBS moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 49 of the 52 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
The 10-day moving average for CNBS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNBS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
CNBS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CNBS entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CNBS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 33 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CNBS as a result. In 66 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CNBS just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where CNBS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +11.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNBS advanced for three days, in 197 of 224 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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