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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 17, 2020

China GDP growth at 3-decade low in 2019

In 2019, China’s economy grew at the slowest pace in 30 years.

The National Bureau of Statistics data reveals that for the whole of 2019, China GDP slowed to 6.1%  - the weakest annual growth rate since 1990.  In 2018, it was 6.6%.

However the 2019 growth rate was expected by analysts polled by Reuters.

Beijing’s official target rate for 2019 was 6% to 6.5%. Chinese Vice Premier Liu He said on Wednesday that GDP growth in 2019 was estimated to have grown more than 6% (as reported in Reuters ).

The nation’s fourth quarter GDP grew 6.0% on-year, quite in line with what analysts polled by Reuters had anticipated.

Following the early December announcement of a Phase One trade agreement between the U.S. and China, business confidence might have improved. For instance, fourth quarter factory activity in China rose 6.9% -- a point above analysts' forecasts.  

However, there might be some uncertainties over the degree of commitment from either party towards meeting all conditions of the US-China Phase One deal. Also, China still faces tariffs on $250 billion of its exports to the U.S.

Related Ticker: CNYA

Momentum Indicator for CNYA turns positive, indicating new upward trend

CNYA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 29, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 92 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 92 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNYA advanced for three days, in of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 201 cases where CNYA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CNYA moved out of overbought territory on September 02, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CNYA turned negative on September 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNYA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CNYA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI China A Inclusion Index composed of domestic Chinese equities that trade on the Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its index. The index is designed to measure the equity market performance in the People's Republic of China, as represented by "A-shares" that are accessible through the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect program or the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect program.
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