CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CVGI's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for CVGI moved out of oversold territory on August 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 26 of the 30 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 50 of 62 cases where CVGI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVGI as a result. In 76 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVGI just turned positive on August 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where CVGI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +3.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVGI advanced for three days, in 189 of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

CVGI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for CVGI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Aroon Indicator for CVGI entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.884) is normal, around the industry mean (6.969). P/E Ratio (2.293) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.549). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.184) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.155) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVGI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.