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EARN
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
96.7M

EARN Ellington Residential Mortgage Reit Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a real estate investment trust

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for EARN with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 25, 2023

EARN in -2.18% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on September 26, 2023

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where EARN declined for three days, in of 236 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EARN as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for EARN moved below the 200-day moving average on September 12, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

The Aroon Indicator for EARN entered a downward trend on September 18, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EARN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EARN just turned positive on September 13, 2023. Looking at past instances where EARN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EARN advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

EARN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.829) is normal, around the industry mean (2.013). P/E Ratio (53.191) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.687). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.376). EARN has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.150) as compared to the industry average of (0.071). EARN's P/S Ratio (12.610) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.241).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EARN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EARN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY), Rithm Capital Corp (NYSE:RITM), Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry is 4.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 51.9K to 243.79B. COFRF holds the highest valuation in this group at 243.79B. The lowest valued company is PDNLB at 51.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. DTLAP experienced the highest price growth at 60%, while CVHL experienced the biggest fall at -38%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was 37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 55% and the average quarterly volume growth was 19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: -29 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

EARN is expected to report earnings to rise 34.47% to 22 cents per share on November 06

Ellington Residential Mortgage Reit EARN Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$0.23
Q2'23
Missed
by $0.05
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.03
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.03
Q3'22
Est.
$0.23
The last earnings report on August 10 showed earnings per share of 17 cents, missing the estimate of 21 cents. With 23.40K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 96.70M.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

EARN is expected to pay dividends on October 25, 2023

Ellington Residential Mortgage Reit EARN Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.08 per share will be paid with a record date of October 25, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of September 28, 2023. The last dividend of $0.08 was paid on September 25. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
53 Forest Avenue
Phone
+1 203 698-1200
Employees
170
Web
http://www.earnreit.com
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EARN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EARN has been closely correlated with ORC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EARN jumps, then ORC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To EARN
1D Price
Change %
EARN100%
-1.87%
ORC - EARN
81%
Closely correlated
-3.45%
ARR - EARN
77%
Closely correlated
-4.00%
IVR - EARN
77%
Closely correlated
-2.56%
NLY - EARN
76%
Closely correlated
-2.08%
TWO - EARN
76%
Closely correlated
-2.83%
More

Groups containing EARN

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To EARN
1D Price
Change %
EARN100%
-1.87%
EARN
(undefined stocks)
84%
Closely correlated
+0.11%
real estate
(undefined stocks)
54%
Loosely correlated
+0.59%
investment trust
(undefined stocks)
53%
Loosely correlated
+0.61%
reits
(undefined stocks)
53%
Loosely correlated
+0.62%
Real Estate Investment Trusts
(undefined stocks)
49%
Loosely correlated
+0.31%
More