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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 03, 2018

Indonesia's Rupiah Is Bleeding

Indonesia’s rupiah is severely hurting, and might plummet to new lows according to some analysts’ predictions.

Finding itself in the middle of emerging markets sell-offs propelled by crises in Turkey and Argentina, the rupiah has declined more than -6% over the last three months. What makes it potentially worse for Indonesia is the nation’s substantial trade deficit and its heavy dependence on oil imports.  Some analysts believe that rupiah's value per dollar could drop below 15,000, which would be the lowest point since the 1998 Asian financial crisis.

Bank Indonesia has hiked interest rates four times since May attempting to rein in the decline in rupiah.

Related Ticker: EIDO

Aroon Indicator for EIDO shows an upward move is likely

EIDO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 04, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 215 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 215 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EIDO advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EIDO moved out of overbought territory on May 30, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 12, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EIDO as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EIDO turned negative on June 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EIDO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

EIDO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Indonesia IMI 25/50 Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of the large-, mid- and small-capitalization segments of the equity market in Indonesia. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF ETF is 5.41B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.13K to 116.34B. ANTM holds the highest valuation in this group at 116.34B. The lowest valued company is EXCL at 1.13K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF ETF was 3%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. CTRA experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while BFIN experienced the biggest fall at -0%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF ETF was 9%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 29
Profit Risk Rating: 36
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
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