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ESTC
Stock ticker: NYSE
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ESTC stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Elastic is a software company that specializes in AI-search, observability, and security deployments... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
ESTC
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ESTC with price predictions
Oct 09, 2026

ESTC's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ESTC turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where ESTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ESTC as a result. In 67 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +5.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESTC advanced for three days, in 217 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 134 of 189 cases where ESTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

ESTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.117) is normal, around the industry mean (51.922). P/E Ratio (25.126) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.370) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.043) is also within normal values, averaging (70.810).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ESTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 244.09B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 244.09B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. BMR experienced the highest price growth at 40%, while BZAI experienced the biggest fall at -39%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -33% and the average quarterly volume growth was -59%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of open source search and analytics engine services

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
Keizersgracht 281
Phone
N/A
Employees
4019
Web
https://www.elastic.co
ESTC's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line