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Nov 08, 2018

Energy Transfer (ET, $25.14) Misses Analyst’s Estimates but Hits Record

The Fortune 500 natural gas and propane company, Energy Transfer Partners, on Wednesday announced their Q3 2018 earnings report where it reported a Q3 GAAP EPS of $0.32. missing analysts estimates by $0.10.

But the adjusted EBITDA of ET totaled a record $2.58 billion, while revenues jumped 45% on a y-o-y basis to $14.5 billion for the quarter, beating the estimate by $1.37 billion. The adjusted EBIDTA was up more than 30% with an increase of $628 million compared to the three months ended September 30, 2017.

ET's net income stood at $371 million, up ~47% with an increase of $119 million compared to the three months ended September 30, 2017. Like the adjusted EBIDTA, distributable cash flow attributable to partners increased by 27% on a y-o-y basis to a record $1.38 billion, with distribution coverage of 1.73x compared to 1.59x in the year-ago quarter.

The company in its comments added that sustained growth in all of the Partnership’s core operations, with record operating performance in its crude, NGL, interstate and midstream businesses helped them in achieving such results. Separately, they also announced that their subsidiary Lone Star NGL has embarked on the path of expanding its pipeline network and will add another 352-mile pipeline to the existing one, a seventh natural gas liquids fractionation facility at Mont Belvieu, Tex., scheduled to be operational in Q1 2020.

Related Ticker: ET

Aroon Indicator for ET shows an upward move is likely

ET's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on January 31, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 319 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 319 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ET as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ET advanced for three days, in of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ET moved out of overbought territory on January 27, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 71 cases where ET's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ET turned negative on January 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ET declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ET broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.441) is normal, around the industry mean (47.044). P/E Ratio (14.394) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.347). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.588) is also within normal values, averaging (2.837). Dividend Yield (0.079) settles around the average of (0.066) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.634) is also within normal values, averaging (2.994).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ET’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Enterprise Products Partners LP (NYSE:EPD), Energy Transfer LP (NYSE:ET), Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI), Cheniere Energy (NYSE:LNG), Targa Resources Corp (NYSE:TRGP), Plains All American Pipeline LP (NASDAQ:PAA), Antero Midstream Corp (NYSE:AM), Scorpio Tankers (NYSE:STNG), Plains GP Holdings LP (NASDAQ:PAGP), Euronav NV (NYSE:CMBT).

Industry description

Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Pipelines Industry is 10.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 193.53K to 76.58B. ENB holds the highest valuation in this group at 76.58B. The lowest valued company is AGEEF at 193.53K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Pipelines Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. AVACF experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while TTNN experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Pipelines Industry was 168%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 327% and the average quarterly volume growth was 108%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 29
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 57
Profit Risk Rating: 57
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of natural gas pipeline transportation and transmission services

Industry OilGasPipelines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Pipelines
Address
8111 Westchester Drive
Phone
+1 214 981-0700
Employees
13786
Web
https://www.energytransfer.com