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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 08, 2025

Week (March 3 - 7) in Review: Financial Leaders

The week was marked by significant financial events that influenced global markets. Notably, the FTSE 100 Index reached an all-time high, closing at 8,871.31 on March 3, 2025, surpassing its previous records. This surge was driven by strong performances in sectors such as mining and banking. Conversely, the U.S. stock markets faced volatility due to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic data, leading to declines in major indices.

Global Overview

The global financial landscape experienced notable fluctuations this week. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and XRP saw significant gains of 24.96% and 16.64%, respectively, reflecting increased investor interest. However, traditional commodities such as the United States Oil Fund (USO) declined by 4.35%, indicating potential shifts in energy markets. Major indexes, including the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), decreased by 4.36%, highlighting broader market apprehensions.​

Sector Overview

Sector-specific performances varied throughout the week. The financial sector, represented by the iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (EUFN), rose by 5.36%, possibly due to positive earnings reports from European banks. The materials sector also performed well, with ETFs like VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals (REMX) and iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers (PICK gaining 4.72% and 3.26%, respectively, driven by increased demand for industrial metals. In contrast, the technology sector faced challenges; the First Trust Cloud Computing ETF (SKYY) dropped by 7.37%, and the Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Discretionary ETF (PSCD) fell by 8.27%, suggesting investor caution in these areas.​

International Overview

International markets displayed mixed results. European ETFs, such as the iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF (EZU) and the JPMorgan BetaBuilders Europe ETF (BBEU), experienced gains of 5.15% and 3.49%, respectively, indicating optimism in the European economy. Latin American markets also showed strength, with the First Trust Brazil AlphaDEX® ETF (FBZ) increasing by 4.04%. Conversely, North American ETFs like the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) and the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) declined by over 4%, reflecting investor concerns about the U.S. economic outlook.​

Summary

This week underscored the dynamic nature of global financial markets. While certain sectors and regions experienced growth, others faced declines due to various economic and geopolitical factors. Investors are advised to remain vigilant and consider diversification to navigate the evolving financial landscape effectively.

Disclaimers and Limitations

 

Related Ticker: USO, BCH, XRP.X, EUFN, REMX, PICK, SKYY, PSCD, BBEU, EZU, FBZ, IVV, VTI

USO saw its Stochastic Oscillator leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for USO moved out of overbought territory on May 22, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 65 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 65 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 27, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on USO as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USO just turned positive on May 09, 2025. Looking at past instances where USO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USO advanced for three days, in of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

USO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share NAV to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma, as measured by the daily changes in the price of a specified short-term futures contract on light, sweet crude oil called the “Benchmark Oil Futures Contract,” plus interest earned on USO’s collateral holdings, less USO’s expenses. USO invests primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.
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