EXFY Stock Expensify (EXFY, $2.15) entered Downtrend as Momentum indicator drops below 0 level on Sep 28, 2026
at Tickeron.com
This indicator may be signaling that EXFY's price has further to drop, since it fell below its price logged 14 days ago. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 87 similar cases where EXFY's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:
EXFY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026
EXFY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EXFY moved out of overbought territory on August 25, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 51 cases where EXFY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXFY as a result. In 77 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EXFY turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXFY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator for EXFY entered a downward trend on September 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +4.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXFY advanced for three days, in 163 of 221 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EXFY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.498) is normal, around the industry mean (51.732). P/E Ratio (103.093) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.259). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.144). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.573) is also within normal values, averaging (70.180).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EXFY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.