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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 04, 2023

Shale Oil Stocks Surge +12.48%: Spotlight on $FLS, $GRC, $IEX, $ITT, $PTEN

Shale Oil Companies Show Positive Trend; Solid Market Cap Backed By Encouraging Fundamental Ratings

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Annualized Return + 48%

Theme Pumping +12.48% 1 Month Change

Tickers in theme Shale Oil -- $FLS $GRC $IEX $ITT $PTEN

Theme: Shale Oil Sector

The Shale Oil sector has recently seen a significant surge with an impressive annualized return of 48%. The sector, referred to as the 'Pumping' theme, has demonstrated a healthy one-month change of +12.48%. A set of five key tickers forming the crux of this theme are Flowserve Corporation ($FLS), Gorman-Rupp Co ($GRC), IDEX Corporation ($IEX), ITT Inc. ($ITT), and Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. ($PTEN).

Notable Tickers:

1. IDEX Corporation ($IEX)

With the highest market capitalization in the group at $16.6 billion, IDEX Corporation stands as a formidable player in the sector. The corporation was a top weekly gainer as of August 1, 2023, witnessing a 5.1% surge. Current indicators predict an uptrend continuation for IDEX, solidifying its position in the sector.

2. Flowserve Corporation ($FLS)

Flowserve Corporation holds a significant position within the theme, with a notable jump of 12.26% in a week as of June 8, 2023. This strong growth trajectory substantiates the positive outlook of the sector.

3. Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN)

Despite being the top loser in a certain week, declining by 7.77%, Patterson-UTI Energy exhibits potential for a downtrend reversal. The company's resilience contributes to the overall robustness of the 'Pumping' theme.

Positive Outlook and Market Cap

Today, the Shale Oil stocks portray a positive outlook, underpinned by the MA200MA50 Indicator. With an optimistic forecast predicting a 4% increase in the next month with a likelihood of 71%, the group is on an upward trajectory. The average market capitalization across the theme is $6.8 billion, ranging from $843.4 million to $16.6 billion.

Price and Volume Growth

The average weekly price growth across the stocks in the theme was 6.27%. The average monthly and quarterly price growth was 12.48% and 7.45% respectively. However, the average weekly volume growth was -69.98%, with the average monthly and quarterly volume growth at -20.28% and -32.39%.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The fundamental analysis ratings provide a deeper understanding of the theme. The valuation rating stands at 56, the P/E growth rating at 69, and the price growth rating at 84. The SMR rating and the profit risk rating are marked at 59 and 62, indicating a stable performance within the theme.

Related Ticker: FLS, GRC, IEX, ITT, PTEN

FLS saw its Stochastic Oscillator leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for FLS moved out of overbought territory on February 13, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 68 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 68 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 19, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FLS as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FLS turned negative on February 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

FLS moved below its 50-day moving average on February 19, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FLS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for FLS's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The 10-day moving average for FLS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FLS advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FLS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 281 cases where FLS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.116) is normal, around the industry mean (4.594). P/E Ratio (32.380) is within average values for comparable stocks, (51.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.803) is also within normal values, averaging (2.219). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.404) is also within normal values, averaging (9.670).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FLS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW), Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR), Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC).

Industry description

The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Industrial Machinery Industry is 9.3B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 59.62 to 135.33B. SMAWF holds the highest valuation in this group at 135.33B. The lowest valued company is KRNT at 59.62.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. SEIGY experienced the highest price growth at 54%, while EMFGF experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -17% and the average quarterly volume growth was 62%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
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FLS
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a maker of pumps, valves, seals, automation, and services

Industry IndustrialMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Industrial Machinery
Address
5215 North O’Connor Boulevard
Phone
+1 972 443-6500
Employees
16000
Web
https://www.flowserve.com