GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to reflect the value of the Bitcoin held by the Trust, determined by reference to the index price, less the trust’s expenses and other liabilities... Show more
Momentum Indicator for GBTC turns negative, indicating new downward trend
GBTC saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on July 31, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GBTC moved out of overbought territory on July 15, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GBTC turned negative on July 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GBTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GBTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GBTC advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 264 cases where GBTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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General Information
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|---|---|---|---|
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| BondBloxx Bloomberg Two YrTrgDurUSTrsETF | |||
| XYLD | 38.58 | -0.32 | -0.82% |
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| QTOC | 32.20 | -0.28 | -0.86% |
| Innovator Growth Accelertd Pls ETF™ Oct | |||
| CSM | 70.78 | -1.07 | -1.49% |
| ProShares Large Cap Core Plus | |||
| OAKM | 25.31 | -0.55 | -2.13% |
| Oakmark U.S. Large Cap ETF | |||
GBTC and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GBTC has been closely correlated with EZBC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GBTC jumps, then EZBC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GBTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBTC | 100% | -0.11% | ||
| EZBC - GBTC | 98% Closely correlated | -3.25% | ||
| ARKB - GBTC | 98% Closely correlated | -0.15% | ||
| FBTC - GBTC | 98% Closely correlated | -0.13% | ||
| BTCW - GBTC | 98% Closely correlated | -3.21% | ||
| IBIT - GBTC | 97% Closely correlated | -0.08% | ||
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