GEO Stock GEO Group (The) (GEO, $31.73) entered Uptrend as Momentum indicator ascends above 0 level on Oct 12, 2026
at Tickeron.com
This indicator may be signaling that GEO's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price exceeds the price logged 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. A.I.dvisor backtested 92 similar cases where GEO's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:
GEO in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
GEO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 31 of 35 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 52 of 60 cases where GEO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GEO as a result. In 80 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GEO just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where GEO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Following a +3.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GEO advanced for three days, in 230 of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
GEO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for GEO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GEO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for GEO entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.623) is normal, around the industry mean (3.174). P/E Ratio (14.255) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.337) is also within normal values, averaging (5.749). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.511) is also within normal values, averaging (2.085).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GEO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.