GNMA iShares GNMA Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for GNMA shows an upward move is likely

GNMA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on December 10, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 161 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 161 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GNMA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 37 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GNMA advanced for three days, in of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GNMA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GNMA as a result. In of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GNMA turned negative on December 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

GNMA moved below its 50-day moving average on December 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GNMA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 20, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GNMA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .