GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GPK just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where GPK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

GPK moved above its 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GPK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Following a +25.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPK advanced for three days, in 165 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GPK moved out of overbought territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 23 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 85%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

GPK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GPK entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.024) is normal, around the industry mean (1.266). P/E Ratio (17.215) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.239). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.280) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GPK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.