GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

GPK sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for GPK moved below the 200-day moving average on August 24, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GPK moved out of overbought territory on September 18, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GPK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 14, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 29, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GPK as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GPK just turned positive on August 29, 2023. Looking at past instances where GPK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GPK moved above its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPK advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 284 cases where GPK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.923) is normal, around the industry mean (2.244). P/E Ratio (10.215) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.056). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (61.166). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.745) is also within normal values, averaging (10.717).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GPK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.