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GSM Stock Ferroglobe (GSM, $4.48) entered Downtrend as Momentum indicator drops below 0 level on Nov 20, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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GSM - Ferroglobe PLC
Momentum signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
Momentum signal
Price: $4.48
Daily change: -$0.01 (-0.22%)
Daily volume: 1M
Industry: Other Metals/Minerals
This indicator may be signaling that GSM's price has further to drop, since it fell below its price logged 14 days ago. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 92 similar cases where GSM's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

GSM in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024

GSM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 46 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for GSM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 31, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GSM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for GSM entered a downward trend on November 08, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 21, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GSM as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GSM just turned positive on November 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where GSM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GSM moved above its 50-day moving average on November 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GSM advanced for three days, in of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.162) is normal, around the industry mean (7.612). P/E Ratio (10.348) is within average values for comparable stocks, (101.825). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.023). GSM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.003) as compared to the industry average of (0.055). P/S Ratio (0.549) is also within normal values, averaging (249.540).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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General Information

a holding company with interests in silicon metal and silicon-based specialty alloys

Industry OtherMetalsMinerals

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Industrial Specialties
Address
13 Chesterfield Street
Phone
+44 7501308322
Employees
3265
Web
https://www.ferroglobe.com