HARL Harleysville Financial Corp. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

HARL's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HARL turned positive on July 01, 2025. Looking at past instances where HARL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 60 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 01, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HARL as a result. In of 129 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HARL moved above its 50-day moving average on July 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HARL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 03, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 23 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

HARL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for HARL entered a downward trend on June 30, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.991) is normal, around the industry mean (1.037). P/E Ratio (7.114) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.984). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.366). Dividend Yield (0.052) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.581) is also within normal values, averaging (2.929).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HARL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.