HGTXU Hugoton Royalty Trust Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

HGTXU's Stochastic Oscillator soaring into overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for HGTXU moved into overbought territory on December 17, 2024. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HGTXU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

HGTXU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for HGTXU entered a downward trend on November 27, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 13, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HGTXU as a result. In of 125 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HGTXU just turned positive on December 09, 2024. Looking at past instances where HGTXU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 75 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HGTXU moved above its 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HGTXU advanced for three days, in of 239 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.638) is normal, around the industry mean (4.423). P/E Ratio (1.181) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.470). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.566). HGTXU's Dividend Yield (0.876) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.084). P/S Ratio (1.066) is also within normal values, averaging (156.728).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HGTXU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HGTXU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.