HODL VanEck Bitcoin ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

HODL in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on August 28, 2025

The 10-day moving average for HODL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HODL as a result. In of 34 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HODL turned negative on September 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 13 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 13 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

HODL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 19, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HODL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

HODL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HODL advanced for three days, in of 94 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 96 cases where HODL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .