HWBK Hawthorn Bancshares Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

HWBK in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on September 04, 2026

HWBK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 27 of the 42 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 64%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HWBK turned negative on September 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.

HWBK moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HWBK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HWBK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator for HWBK entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 59 cases where HWBK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HWBK as a result. In 57 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Following a +2.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HWBK advanced for three days, in 184 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HWBK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.542) is normal, around the industry mean (1.321). P/E Ratio (10.514) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (1.186). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.115) is also within normal values, averaging (3.747).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.