Intel is a leading digital chipmaker focused on designing and manufacturing microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets... Show more
Intel Corporation is a leading designer and manufacturer of semiconductors, including microprocessors used in personal computers, data centers, networking equipment, and edge devices. Its core businesses span the Client Computing and Physical AI Group, the Data Center and AI segment, and Network and Edge, alongside Intel Foundry, its contract chip-manufacturing initiative. Intel is the only U.S.-based producer of advanced logic chips, positioning it as a domestic alternative to overseas foundries such as TSMC. Under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, the company is executing an ambitious turnaround centered on expanding server CPU supply, advancing its 18A process technology, and rebuilding its foundry business. Investors follow the stock closely because of its role in AI infrastructure, its exposure to the PC cycle, and the significant capital required to fund its manufacturing strategy.
Over the last 30 days, Intel shares fell from a closing price of $119.33 on October 2, 2026, to $59.97 on November 2, 2026, a decline of roughly 49.7%. The single largest move came on October 30, when the stock dropped 28.6% to $65.76 following third-quarter results and weaker-than-expected guidance, marking Intel's worst one-day decline in more than five decades.
The broader quarter tells a more volatile story. From an August 3 close of $91.00, the stock rallied through September to an intra-quarter closing high of $127.39 on September 24 before reversing sharply. As of early November, the stock was down roughly 34% from its early-August level and stood well below its 52-week closing high of $140.94, set on June 22, 2026.
The primary catalyst was Intel's third-quarter earnings release on October 29, 2026. The company reported revenue of $16.51 billion, up 21% year over year, and non-GAAP earnings of $0.52 per share, beating the consensus of roughly $0.40. However, fourth-quarter guidance disappointed sharply: revenue of $15–16 billion versus expectations near $17 billion, adjusted EPS of $0.25 versus $0.43, and a non-GAAP gross margin of about 38%, down from 44.1% in the third quarter.
An operational incident at the Kiryat Gat (Fab 28) facility in Israel also weighed on the outlook, with management estimating about $300 million in fourth-quarter revenue impact and a 200-basis-point gross margin drag, plus a similar effect in the first quarter of 2027. Meanwhile, Intel's Client Computing and Physical AI Group revenue fell 5% year over year to roughly $8.1 billion as the PC market weakened, while Data Center and AI revenue jumped 78% to $7.32 billion. In response, analysts including Bank of America cut ratings and price targets, and peers such as AMD and NVIDIA also declined as semiconductor sentiment soured.
Over the last quarter, Intel's share price reflected a broader reversal in semiconductor and AI sentiment. The stock climbed through September on enthusiasm for server CPU demand tied to agentic AI workloads, briefly topping $127, before a steady October selloff as investors questioned the pace and returns of AI infrastructure spending. Intel's own challenges compounded the pressure: PC demand weakened faster than expected, memory prices rose, and supply constraints limited how much of its strong data-center demand could be converted into revenue. The foundry segment reported an operating loss of roughly $1.9 billion, and management signaled that free cash flow would likely remain negative in 2027 amid rising capital expenditures, further eroding confidence in the turnaround narrative.
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Looking ahead, investors will monitor whether Intel can execute against its fourth-quarter guidance and manage the Fab 28 recovery timeline. Key factors include PC unit demand, which management expects to remain soft through at least the first half of 2027, and the pace of memory-price normalization. Server CPU supply expansion and Xeon processor output will be central to whether the Data Center and AI segment sustains its growth. Additional catalysts include progress on Intel's 18A process, any announcements of large external foundry customers, and updates on capital spending and free cash flow. Macroeconomic conditions, interest rates, and broader AI spending sentiment may also continue to influence the semiconductor sector.
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The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +5.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 231 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 69 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.519) is normal, around the industry mean (5.869). P/E Ratio (-27.880) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.161). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of computer components and related products
Industry Semiconductors