Intrepid Potash Inc produces and sells potash and potash byproducts in three main product segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions... Show more
Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) provides investors with direct exposure to the potash and specialty fertilizer markets. The company operates primarily in the agricultural inputs sector within basic materials, producing muriate of potash (a key fertilizer), Trio (a specialty fertilizer blending potassium, sulfate, and magnesium), and related products like salt and magnesium chloride for industrial and oilfield uses. Its business structure emphasizes potash production, which accounts for the majority of revenue, alongside Trio and oilfield solutions segments. This concentrated exposure to fertilizer commodities explains much of IPI's recent price volatility, as fluctuations in global potash demand and prices directly impact performance.
Over the last 30 days, IPI fell -11.9% from a closing price of $40.05 on March 18, 2026, to $35.32 on April 17, 2026. The movement was volatile and trend-driven downward, peaking at around $48 in mid-March before a steady decline amid range-bound trading in early April.
For the past quarter, IPI gained +3.9%, advancing from $34.00 on January 17, 2026, to $35.32. The period featured sharp upside in early March followed by a pullback, reflecting broader sector momentum before recent softening.
IPI's 30-day decline followed a mid-March peak fueled by momentum from strong Q4 2025 results and expansion news, with shares surging over 10% in early March on better-than-expected earnings and potash demand. However, profit-taking ensued, exacerbated by potential softening in potash prices and broader market sentiment in commodities. The company's potash segment, central to its revenue, faced headwinds from stabilizing fertilizer markets after earlier geopolitical-driven rallies. A April 2 announcement of the $70 million sale of Intrepid South Ranch provided some support but failed to halt the downtrend. Peers like CF Industries and MOSiac exhibited similar volatility, underscoring sector-wide pressures.
Over the quarter, IPI's modest gain was propelled by robust Q4 results reported in early March, featuring revenue growth and narrowed losses, alongside heightened demand for domestic potash amid global supply concerns. The stock rallied sharply from February lows around $32 to $48 by March 12, driven by positive analyst momentum and fertilizer sector tailwinds like rising agricultural needs and commodity pricing. Institutional interest and market cycles in basic materials contributed cumulatively, though late-quarter declines tempered gains. Macro factors, including inflation in inputs and growth expectations for U.S. agriculture, provided a supportive backdrop.
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Investors should monitor Q1 2026 earnings on May 6, 2026, for updates on potash production, Trio sales, and guidance amid fluctuating fertilizer demand. Key macro factors include global potash prices, U.S. agricultural trends, and commodity inflation. Sector outlook hinges on peers like Nutrien and supply dynamics from major producers. Risks involve volatile input costs and geopolitical events affecting fertilizer markets, while catalysts could emerge from oilfield solutions growth or further asset sales.
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IPI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on May 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IPI turned negative on May 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
IPI moved below its 50-day moving average on May 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IPI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IPI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for IPI entered a downward trend on June 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IPI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IPI advanced for three days, in of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IPI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. IPI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.975) is normal, around the industry mean (1.370). P/E Ratio (32.568) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.690). IPI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.625). IPI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.045). P/S Ratio (1.580) is also within normal values, averaging (1.419).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. IPI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of a potash and langbeinite
Industry ChemicalsAgricultural