ITW Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Dead Cat Bounce on May 24, 2024

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ITW - Illinois Tool Works

Emerged: 05/24/24

Breakout: $240.03

Price: $241.45

Target price: $232.44

ITW's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for ITW entered a downward trend on November 01, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 132 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 132 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ITW moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where ITW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ITW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ITW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ITW as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ITW just turned positive on November 01, 2024. Looking at past instances where ITW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for ITW moved above the 200-day moving average on October 11, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ITW advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ITW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ITW's P/B Ratio (26.316) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.693). P/E Ratio (27.231) is within average values for comparable stocks, (51.170). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.790) is also within normal values, averaging (2.219). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.879).