IYW stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Russell 1000 Technology RIC 22... Show more
Why iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) Is Down -16% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- The iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) has declined roughly 16% over the trailing 30 days, falling from about $271.51 to near $227 per share.
- The selloff accelerated in early November as semiconductor and artificial-intelligence (AI) infrastructure names came under heavy pressure.
- Top holdings NVIDIA (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), and Microsoft (MSFT) collectively account for roughly 40% of fund assets, concentrating the drawdown.
- A sizable weighting in semiconductors amplified losses; the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 12.25% in a single session, its worst day since March 2020.
- Key drivers include post-election concerns about AI data-center permitting and regulation, crowded positioning, and a reset in growth-stock valuations.
- Over the trailing quarter, IYW is down approximately 11%, reflecting a sharp reversal from its early-October peak.
- Explore detailed Price Targets and a Forecast for this ticker on additional pages to inform your research.
- Discover Trending AI Robots to track automated trading signals and market momentum.
iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) Overview and Portfolio Exposure
IYW is a passively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to track the Russell 1000 Technology RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index, a benchmark measuring the technology segment of the U.S. equity market. The fund generally invests at least 80% of its assets in the index's component securities and holds roughly 150 positions, with a net expense ratio of about 0.37% and assets under management (AUM) of approximately $25 billion.
The portfolio is dominated by information technology, which represents about 90% of assets, with communication services contributing most of the remainder. The top holdings are NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft, followed by Broadcom (AVGO), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), Micron Technology (MU), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The top ten names account for roughly 64% of total assets. This concentrated, semiconductor-heavy structure means the fund rises and falls with mega-cap technology sentiment, which helps explain the magnitude of the recent drawdown.
iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, IYW has fallen about 16%, sliding from roughly $271.51 to near $227 per share. The decline was not gradual: after peaking above $272 in early October, the fund entered a sharp, trend-driven reversal that steepened in late October and early November.
The trailing-quarter picture is similar in direction but less severe. From about $254 in early August, IYW is down roughly 11% over three months. The quarter was effectively a round trip—a rally into early October was fully unwound, and then some, as risk appetite rotated away from high-multiple growth and AI-hardware equities. The character of the move shifted from range-bound appreciation to a rapid, volatile correction rather than a steady drift lower.
What Drove IYW Price in the Last 30 Days
The most important catalyst was a sharp, broad-based selloff in technology and semiconductor equities tied to post-election policy uncertainty. Following the U.S. midterm elections, investors repriced the outlook for AI infrastructure amid expectations of tighter data-center permitting and heightened regulatory scrutiny, which raised questions about the pace of future AI capital expenditure.
The semiconductor complex bore the brunt of the selling. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 12.25% in a single session—its largest one-day decline since March 2020—while several of IYW's most influential holdings fell sharply, including AMD (down more than 17%), Micron (down roughly 17%), Broadcom (down about 10%), and NVIDIA (down more than 9%). Because these names carry meaningful weight in IYW, their declines translated directly into fund losses.
The selloff was compounded by factors that had been building before the election: crowded positioning in AI-hardware trades, concerns about whether record AI capital spending would convert into returns, and lingering sensitivity to the interest-rate outlook that weighs on long-duration growth valuations.
What Drove IYW Performance Over the Last Quarter
The three-month trend reflects a broader rotation out of high-multiple growth and AI-exposed equities. Through September, enthusiasm around AI infrastructure spending supported the sector and lifted IYW toward its early-October high. That momentum then reversed as valuation concerns, regulatory uncertainty, and forced de-risking by institutional investors prompted a rapid unwind of one of the market's most crowded trades.
The fund's concentration in mega-cap technology names—led by NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft—meant that sector-wide shifts, rather than company-specific news, drove most of the quarterly move. The resulting correction pushed the Nasdaq Composite into technical correction territory, defined as a decline of at least 10% from a recent peak, underscoring the breadth of the de-risking across growth equities.
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IYW ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next
The path forward for IYW will likely depend on several interconnected themes. Regulatory and policy developments around AI infrastructure—including data-center permitting and any new oversight of the sector—remain a key variable, given how directly they affect the capital-expenditure plans of the fund's largest semiconductor and software holdings.
Investors should also monitor the interest-rate and inflation backdrop, since growth-oriented technology valuations are sensitive to shifts in discount rates. The earnings cycle of major holdings will matter as well: whether megacap technology and semiconductor companies can convert elevated capital spending into durable profit growth will be central to sentiment. Finally, capital flows into technology ETFs and broader risk appetite will influence whether the recent rotation continues or stabilizes, while lingering crowded positioning leaves the fund exposed to further volatility if de-risking resumes.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
IYW's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for IYW entered a downward trend on November 13, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 139 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 128 of the 139 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYW as a result. In 65 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYW turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
IYW moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IYW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IYW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 54 cases where IYW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +4.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYW advanced for three days, in 322 of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
IYW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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