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JHX Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Dead Cat Bounce JHX on October 07, 2024, netting in a 9.59% gain over 2 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+9.59% Gain from a Successful pattern Dead Cat Bounce
JHX - JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES plc
Tickeron
Ticker: JHX
Company: JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES plc
Gain from shortening: +9.59%
Confirmed: 10/07/24
Succeeded: 10/22/24
Total length: 18 days
On October 04, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Dead Cat Bounce Pattern (Bearish) for JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES plc (JHX, $37.74). 3 days later, on October 07, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 22, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $34.97 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

JHX's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for JHX entered a downward trend on November 12, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 153 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 153 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for JHX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JHX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JHX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JHX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JHX as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JHX just turned positive on November 11, 2024. Looking at past instances where JHX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

JHX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for JHX moved above the 200-day moving average on October 14, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JHX advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JHX's P/B Ratio (9.259) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.541). P/E Ratio (33.140) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.889). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.747) is also within normal values, averaging (2.250). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. JHX's P/S Ratio (4.600) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.776).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JHX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

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JHX
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General Information

a manufacturer of cement products

Industry ConstructionMaterials

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Construction Materials
Address
Harcourt Street
Phone
+353 14116924
Employees
5473
Web
https://ir.jameshardie.com.au