KEYS stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Keysight Technologies is a leader in the field of testing and measurement, helping electronics OEMs and suppliers alike bring products to market to fit industry standards and specifications... Show more
Keysight Technologies (KEYS) Stock Analysis: AI Infrastructure Demand Powers Record Growth
Key Takeaways
- Keysight Technologies (KEYS) has traded in a volatile range over the trailing month, with a modest move of roughly +0.8% over the past 30 days and a notable pullback from early-October highs.
- The company posted record fiscal Q3 2026 results, with revenue up 36% year over year and orders up 56%, driven by accelerating demand across AI infrastructure and semiconductor markets.
- Management raised full-year guidance, now targeting roughly 32% revenue growth and about 60% earnings growth for fiscal 2026.
- Supply-chain and component-availability constraints remain the primary near-term limit on converting strong backlog into revenue.
- Longer-term momentum remains strong, with AI-related wireline, defense modernization, and semiconductor testing underpinning the growth narrative.
Current Market Snapshot
Keysight Technologies shares have been highly active through 2026, reflecting both a powerful demand cycle and periodic profit-taking. After a strong run that carried the stock toward the $388 level in early October, shares pulled back and have recently traded near $338. Over the trailing 30 days, the stock is roughly flat, moving only about 0.8% higher, which contrasts with a much stronger year-to-date performance that has seen the stock appreciate significantly.
The recent consolidation comes even as fundamentals continue to strengthen, suggesting investors are weighing near-term supply constraints and valuation against the company's record bookings and upgraded outlook. Sector positioning remains favorable, as Keysight sits at the center of several secular investment themes, including AI data-center buildouts, advanced semiconductor validation, and defense modernization.
Keysight Technologies (KEYS) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Keysight Technologies is an S&P 500 company and a global leader in electronic design, emulation, and test-and-measurement solutions. Originally spun off from Agilent Technologies in 2014, the company helps engineers across the entire product lifecycle, from design simulation to manufacturing validation, in markets spanning communications, aerospace and defense, automotive, semiconductor, and general electronics.
The business is organized into two reporting segments. The Communications Solutions Group (CSG) serves commercial communications and aerospace, defense, and government customers, while the Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG) addresses general electronics, semiconductor, and automotive and energy end markets. Keysight's competitive moat rests on its high-precision instrumentation, deep software and emulation capabilities, and a growing recurring-revenue base, with software and services now representing roughly one-third of total revenue.
Recent Developments Driving KEYS
Keysight's most consequential recent catalyst was its record fiscal third-quarter 2026 report, which showed revenue of $1.85 billion, up 36% year over year, and orders of $2.09 billion, up 56%. Non-GAAP earnings per share rose approximately 79% to $3.07, while operating margin expanded to 33.2%, above the company's long-term target range.
AI infrastructure demand is the central driver. Wireline orders more than doubled year over year as customers scaled 800G and 1.6-terabit optical transceivers and began engaging on 3.2-terabit technologies. Commercial communications delivered its first $1 billion revenue quarter, with wireline revenue exceeding wireless for the first time. Keysight has also collaborated with partners such as Broadcom (AVGO) on Ultra Ethernet interoperability demonstrations, reinforcing its role in AI-optimized networking.
Beyond AI, aerospace, defense, and government revenue rose 14%, and the Electronic Industrial Solutions Group posted record revenue of $501 million. Meanwhile, management flagged that parts availability and supply-chain capacity, rather than demand, now represent the key constraint on near-term revenue conversion.
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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
Looking ahead, Keysight has guided fiscal fourth-quarter revenue to between $1.93 billion and $1.95 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share to between $3.34 and $3.40, implying roughly 37% and 76% year-over-year growth at the midpoints, respectively. For the full fiscal year, management expects approximately 32% revenue growth and 60% earnings growth.
Investors should monitor several factors into 2026. First, the pace at which the company converts its record backlog and all-time-high pipeline into revenue, given ongoing component constraints. Second, the trajectory of AI data-center spending and optical interconnect adoption, which remains the single largest growth engine. Third, execution on acquisition integration and cost synergies, where management expects to realize 80% to 90% of its $100 million synergy target exiting the fiscal year. Macroeconomic considerations, including tariff developments and government defense spending patterns, also warrant attention. As always, actual results may differ materially from forward-looking statements, and investors should conduct their own due diligence.
Disclaimer
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KEYS's Stochastic Oscillator descends into oversold zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for KEYS moved into oversold territory on November 02, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for KEYS's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Following a +6.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KEYS advanced for three days, in 210 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
KEYS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 257 cases where KEYS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KEYS as a result. In 45 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KEYS turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
KEYS moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KEYS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KEYS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KEYS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.745) is normal, around the industry mean (1.478). P/E Ratio (40.672) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.713) is also within normal values, averaging (5.470). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.467) is also within normal values, averaging (32.028).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a provider of electronic measurement instruments and systems and related software, software design tools and services
Industry ElectronicEquipmentInstruments