KEYS stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Keysight Technologies is a leader in the field of testing and measurement, helping electronics OEMs and suppliers alike bring products to market to fit industry standards and specifications... Show more
Why Keysight Technologies (KEYS) Stock Is Down -13% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Keysight Technologies (KEYS) shares have declined approximately 13% over the last 30 days, falling from $363.67 on June 18 to $315.90 on July 17, 2026.
- The pullback follows a powerful rally that drove the stock to a 52-week high of $374.96 on June 22, fueled by strong fiscal Q2 2026 earnings released in May.
- A broader AI and tech-sector selloff, combined with stretched valuation multiples and profit-taking, triggered the sharp reversal in late June and early July.
- Despite the near-term decline, Wall Street maintains a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating with an average price target near $372, reflecting continued confidence in Keysight's AI-driven growth story.
- Insider selling activity and index reclassification added incremental pressure, though no company-specific negative news drove the selloff.
Keysight Technologies (KEYS) Company Overview and Market Position
Keysight Technologies is a global provider of electronic design, test, measurement, and optimization solutions serving the communications, aerospace and defense, automotive, semiconductor, and general electronics industries. Spun off from Agilent Technologies in 2014 and tracing its roots to Hewlett-Packard's original electronic measurement business, the company supplies oscilloscopes, network analyzers, signal generators, spectrum analyzers, modular PXI systems, and advanced software platforms used throughout the product development lifecycle. Keysight occupies a critical position in the AI infrastructure ecosystem, as its high-precision testing and validation tools are essential for developing next-generation data center networking, silicon photonics, and high-speed interconnect technologies. With a market capitalization of approximately $54 billion, the company holds substantial competitive moats built on decades of intellectual property, deep customer relationships, and a reputation for measurement accuracy that is difficult for competitors to replicate.
Keysight Technologies (KEYS) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, KEYS stock has fallen from a closing price of $363.67 on June 18, 2026, to $315.90 on July 17, 2026 — a decline of roughly 13%. The selloff unfolded in two distinct waves: a sharp 8.7% single-day plunge on June 26 that took the stock from $360.06 to $328.66 on unusually heavy volume of roughly 5.5 million shares, followed by continued downward pressure through mid-July that pushed shares to an intraday low of $300.87 on July 17 before a partial recovery.
Zooming out to the last quarter, the stock's trajectory tells a more complex story. From mid-April levels around $334, KEYS surged to its 52-week high of $374.96 on June 22 — a gain of roughly 12% in roughly two months — driven by a standout fiscal Q2 earnings report and a wave of bullish analyst revisions. However, the subsequent unwind erased those quarterly gains, and shares ended the period modestly lower than where they began. The quarterly chart illustrates a classic pattern of post-earnings euphoria giving way to valuation-driven repricing.
What Drove KEYS Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The 30-day decline in KEYS shares was primarily a function of valuation compression and sector-wide rotation rather than any deterioration in the company's underlying business fundamentals. Several factors converged to pressure the stock:
Stretched Valuation and Profit-Taking: By mid-June, KEYS traded at a forward P/E approaching 60, a significant premium to its five-year median near 30. After gaining roughly 100% over the trailing 12 months, the stock became vulnerable to profit-taking, particularly as AI-linked momentum names faced a broader reassessment.
Broader Tech Selloff: A sector-wide pullback in semiconductor equipment and AI-exposed stocks in late June triggered correlated selling. Peers including LRCX also declined sharply during this window, confirming that macroeconomic repositioning — not company-specific trouble — drove the move.
Insider Selling Activity: Several insiders executed pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 sales during the period. CEO Satish Dhanasekaran sold 507 shares at approximately $361.32 on June 25, Director James Cullen sold 3,000 shares at $346.58 on June 2, and SVP Ingrid Estrada sold 2,000 shares at $340.87 on June 30. While these transactions were pre-planned, the pattern of zero insider purchases and consistent sales weighed on sentiment.
Index Reclassification: KEYS was removed from the Russell 1000 Defensive Index and Russell 1000 Value Defensive Index during the annual Russell reconstitution in late June, while being added to growth-oriented benchmarks. This rebalancing triggered forced selling from defensive-oriented funds.
Analyst Rating Adjustment: Wall Street Zen downgraded KEYS from "strong-buy" to "buy" on July 5, and the broader consensus has reflected cautious optimism tempered by valuation concerns.
What Drove KEYS Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The last quarter for Keysight Technologies was defined by two opposing forces: exceptional fundamental execution and a punishing valuation reset. The quarter began with KEYS trading near $334 in mid-April. On May 19, the company reported fiscal Q2 2026 results that meaningfully exceeded expectations — adjusted EPS of $2.87 versus the $2.32 consensus, on revenue of $1.72 billion representing 31.5% year-over-year growth. Management issued Q3 EPS guidance of $2.43–$2.49, reinforcing the growth narrative.
The earnings beat ignited a wave of price target increases from major Wall Street firms. Goldman Sachs raised its target to $426, UBS to $420, Susquehanna to $425, and JPMorgan to $390. Separately, Keysight completed the acquisition of VPIphotonics on June 9, strengthening its photonic design automation portfolio for AI data center applications, and announced a partnership with Siemens Digital Industries Software on June 11.
These catalysts propelled KEYS to its 52-week high of $374.96 on June 22. However, the very strength of the rally set the stage for its reversal. With the stock up more than 30% from its April levels and trading at historically elevated multiples, any shift in risk appetite exposed shares to outsized downside. The late-June tech rotation, combined with Russell index rebalancing flows and natural profit-taking after a 100% annual gain, compressed the stock back below its pre-earnings levels by mid-July — even as the fundamental outlook remained intact.
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KEYS Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, several factors will shape KEYS' trajectory. The company's fiscal Q3 2026 earnings report, expected in August, will be a critical checkpoint — investors will scrutinize whether AI-related order momentum, which drove a 56% year-over-year order surge and a 1.2x book-to-bill ratio in Q2, remains on track. Revenue guidance of $1.73–$1.75 billion and EPS guidance of $2.43–$2.49 provide a benchmark against which any deviation could move shares significantly.
Broader macroeconomic conditions, particularly interest rate expectations and capital expenditure trends in the semiconductor and data center sectors, will continue to influence sentiment toward high-multiple technology stocks. The integration of the VPIphotonics acquisition and the commercial traction of the Siemens partnership represent additional operational catalysts. On the risk side, management has flagged potential tariff-related costs of $150–$175 million annually related to U.S.-China trade dynamics, which could pressure margins if not mitigated. Morgan Stanley's July upgrade to Overweight with a $400 price target signals that some institutional analysts view the post-selloff valuation as an improved entry point, but sustained recovery likely requires both strong execution and stabilization in the broader tech tape.
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KEYS in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on July 01, 2026
KEYS moved below its 50-day moving average on July 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 36 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for KEYS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KEYS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for KEYS entered a downward trend on July 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KEYS as a result. In of 70 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KEYS just turned positive on July 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where KEYS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KEYS advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
KEYS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KEYS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: KEYS's P/B Ratio (8.780) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.324). P/E Ratio (52.356) is within average values for comparable stocks, (89.600). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.164) is also within normal values, averaging (2.251). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.217) is also within normal values, averaging (25.366).
Industry description
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a provider of electronic measurement instruments and systems and related software, software design tools and services
Industry ElectronicEquipmentInstruments