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KWR Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top KWR on October 22, 2024, netting in a 10.36% gain over 2 months

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+10.36% Gain from a Successful pattern Head-and-Shoulders Top
KWR - Quaker Houghton
Tickeron
Ticker: KWR
Company: Quaker Houghton
Gain from shortening: +10.36%
Confirmed: 10/22/24
Succeeded: 12/17/24
Total length: 62 days
On October 16, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern (Bearish) for Quaker Houghton (KWR, $165.15). 6 days later, on October 22, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On December 17, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $146.39 – resulting in a +1 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

KWR in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 25, 2024

KWR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 46 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 20, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KWR as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KWR turned negative on November 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for KWR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 02, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KWR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for KWR entered a downward trend on December 20, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 22 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KWR advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KWR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.636) is normal, around the industry mean (3.612). P/E Ratio (32.395) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.004). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.088). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.860) is also within normal values, averaging (92.747).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. KWR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KWR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

a company, which engages in the business of developing, producing and marketing formulated chemical specialty products

Industry ChemicalsSpecialty

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Chemicals Specialty
Address
901 East Hector Street
Phone
+1 610 832-4000
Employees
4400
Web
https://www.quakerhoughton.com