The vacation industry, comprising companies in the airline, lodging, and cruise sectors, has witnessed a remarkable surge in stock prices over the last month. With an average gain of 32.29%, these companies have outperformed expectations and left investors pleasantly surprised. In this article, we will delve into the theme of vacation industry stocks and highlight notable companies within this sector.
🌐Tickers in Industry - $MAR, $HA, $GOL, $SKYW, $ALGT, $JBLU, $CPA, $ALK, $LUV, $UAL, $DAL, $CUK, $RCL, $NCLH, $VLRS, $AAL, $HLT, $TNL, $MESA
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Theme Description:
The vacation industry theme includes a diverse range of companies, from airlines to lodging and cruise operators. Within the airline industry, Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE: LUV), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ: UAL), and JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ: JBLU) are prominent players. In the lodging industry, Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) and Hilton Worldwide Holdings (NYSE: HLT) take the lead, while the cruise industry is represented by Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE: RCL).
These companies heavily rely on consumers' discretionary income, making them sensitive to economic fluctuations. However, it's essential to note that other external factors, such as geopolitical tensions and health concerns like the COVID-19 pandemic, can also impact their performance.
Notable Companies:
Market Cap:
The vacation theme's average market capitalization stands at approximately $12.4 billion. Marriott International (MAR) holds the highest valuation within the group, with a market cap of $60.9 billion. In contrast, MESA has the lowest market capitalization at $30.6 million.
High and Low Price Notable News:
Over the past month, vacation industry stocks exhibited impressive price growth. On average, stocks in this theme saw a 32.29% increase in their prices, significantly contributing to the sector's positive performance. Southwest Airlines (LUV) stood out as a top weekly gainer, with a notable 8.83% increase in its stock price.
Volume: Trading volumes within the vacation theme have shown fluctuations. On a weekly basis, the average volume growth across all stocks was 36.43%. However, monthly volumes decreased by an average of -20.19%, while quarterly volumes experienced a substantial growth of 68.7%.
Fundamental Analysis Ratings:
Unfortunately, no information regarding fundamental analysis ratings was provided in the source text.
The vacation industry stocks have experienced a significant boost in the past month, with an average gain of 32.29%. Notable companies within this theme cover a wide spectrum of travel and leisure businesses. While the sector is subject to economic and external risks, recent positive trends suggest growing confidence in the industry's recovery and future potential. Investors should continue to monitor these stocks for further developments and opportunities in this dynamic market.
MAR : The Momentum Indicator for Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) crossed below the zero threshold on December 5, 2023, signaling potential bearish momentum. This shift suggests that MAR may be entering a downward trajectory. Investors and traders should be cautious, possibly considering strategies such as selling their holdings or investigating put options as a hedge. An analysis by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, examining 87 comparable events where the Momentum Indicator turned negative, found that in 66 instances, the stock continued its decline in subsequent days. This historical pattern indicates a 76% probability of MAR's stock price continuing to fall, underscoring the need for vigilance among market participants.
HA : Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. (HA) exhibited a positive shift in its market trend, as its stock price surpassed the 50-day Moving Average on December 1, 2023. This movement is a key indicator of a transition from a previous downtrend to an emerging uptrend. Historical data analysis reveals that in 38 out of 48 comparable scenarios, HA's stock price experienced further growth in the subsequent month. These patterns suggest a strong likelihood, approximately 79%, of HA maintaining its upward momentum. Investors should consider this trend as a potentially favorable signal in their market strategies and portfolio decisions.
GOL : Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes (GOL) experienced a notable shift in market sentiment as its Momentum Indicator dropped below the zero mark on November 30, 2023. This significant move suggests a potential onset of a downward trend for the stock. Investors and traders might want to reassess their positions, possibly considering selling their shares or exploring put options as a defensive strategy. An analysis by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, reviewing 74 similar occurrences where the Momentum Indicator turned negative, showed that in 64 cases, GOL's stock continued to decline in the following period. This historical trend points to a high probability, about 86%, of further downward movement in GOL's stock price.
The Aroon Indicator for MAR entered a downward trend on January 08, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 91 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MAR as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MAR moved below its 50-day moving average on December 31, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MAR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 07, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MAR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MAR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MAR advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MAR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MAR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MAR's P/B Ratio (443.634) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (29.232). P/E Ratio (24.689) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.196). MAR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.536) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.378). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.210) is also within normal values, averaging (2.438).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of hotels and related lodging facilities
Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines