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Nov 15, 2023

$BLK, $SPGI, $VRSK, $AON, $EFX Lead Risk Group with 4.55% Weekly Gain!

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Navigating the Rising Tides: A Comprehensive Look at the Risk Group's Market Performance

This blog post explores the significant growth and dynamics of the risk group sector in the financial market, focusing on key players like $BLK, $SPGI, $VRSK, and others. We'll analyze the sector's recent performance, delve into market capitalizations, and observe notable trends in stock movements.

Tickers in this Group:
$MCO -x- $BLK -x- $FDS -x- $VRSK -x- $AON -x- $MMC -x-​​​​​​​ $EFX -x- ​​​​​​​$MORN -x- ​​​​​​​$TRU -x- ​​​​​​​$RHI -x-​​​​​​​ $ORI -x-​​​​​​​ $CRVL -x- $MSCI -x-​​​​​​​ $ESNT -x- $SPGI 

Ticker Descriptions

  1. $BLK (Blackrock)

    • RSI Oscillator indicates a shift from a downward to an upward trend, with a 90% likelihood of continued growth.
    • Currently trading between $799.84 resistance and $683.46 support.
  2. $VRSK (Verisk Analytics)

    • Positive MACD suggests a 72% chance of continued upward movement.
    • The stock is trading above its highest support line at $200.85.
  3. $AON (Aon plc)

    • With its price breaking above the lower Bollinger Band, there’s a 76% probability of further increase.
    • The stock is moving between $333.73 resistance and $276.40 support.
  4. $EFX (Equifax)

    • Recovering RSI Oscillator points towards an 82% chance of an uptrend.
    • The stock is navigating between $205.76 resistance and $123.52 support.
  5. $TRU (TransUnion)

    • A potential uptrend indicated by its break above the lower Bollinger Band, with a 74% likelihood of continued rise.
    • Currently trading between $72.19 resistance and $54.99 resistance.
  6. $RHI (Robert Half International)

    • The stock's movement above its 50-day Moving Average signals a transition to an upward trend, with a 66% probability of further growth.
    • Current trading is happening between $80.62 support and $79.95 resistance.
  7. $ORI (Old Republic International)

    • A positive turn in the Momentum Indicator suggests a new upward trend, with a 58% chance of continued rise.
    • The stock price is above its highest resistance line at $26.52.
  8. $CRVL (CorVel Corporation)

    • Breaking above its lower Bollinger Band, CRVL shows an 84% likelihood of a continued upward trend.
    • Currently, the stock is trading between $222.48 resistance and $160.72 support.
  9. $MSCI (MSCI Inc.)

    • With the RSI Oscillator moving out of the oversold territory, there's a 78% chance of an uptrend.
    • The stock is positioned between $716.89 support and $473.61 resistance.
  10. $ESNT (Essent Group Ltd.)

    • The MACD turning positive indicates a 67% probability of an ongoing upward trend.
    • The stock is trading above $44.40, the highest support line identified.
  11. $SPGI (S&P Global Inc.)

    • The bullish crossover of the 10-day Moving Average above the 50-day Moving Average points to an 80% chance of continued growth.
    • The stock is navigating between $500.52 resistance and $401.33 support.

📈 Risk Group Sector Overview The past week has been a bullish period for the risk group sector, showing a notable gain of +4.55%. This sector, crucial in analyzing and publishing risk-return profiles of financial assets, has seen positive movements, supported by various market indicators.

🔍 Theme Description The risk category encompasses companies engaged in credit ratings, risk management solutions, and investment services. Key players like Moody's, Blackrock, and TransUnion are pivotal in this field, offering crucial insights into financial security and stability.

💰 Market Cap The average market capitalization within this sector is 40.9B. $SPGI leads with a valuation of 124.8B, whereas $CRD.B is at the more modest end with 476.2M.

📉 High and Low Price Notable News The sector's average weekly price growth stood at 4.57%. While $TRU saw an impressive 8.73% rise, $MMC experienced a slight decrease of 1.73%.

🔊 Volume A significant fluctuation in weekly volume growth (-15.94%) reflects varied trading activities. $TransUnion and $Morningstar showed extraordinary volume growth, highlighting the sector's dynamic nature.

📊 Fundamental Analysis Ratings

  • Valuation Rating: 86
  • P/E Growth Rating: 30
  • Price Growth Rating: 43
  • SMR Rating: 52
  • Profit Risk Rating: 28
  • Seasonality Score: -22 (-100 ... +100)

The risk group sector demonstrates resilience and growth potential, with companies like $BLK, $SPGI, and $VRSK leading the way. The sector's performance, backed by strong fundamental and technical indicators, presents compelling opportunities for investors and traders. As the market evolves, these insights can guide strategic investment decisions in this dynamic sector. 🌟📈

Related Ticker: MCO, BLK, FDS, VRSK, AON, MMC, EFX, MORN, TRU, RHI, ORI, CRVL, MSCI, ESNT, SPGI

MCO's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for MCO moved out of oversold territory on December 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 46 cases where MCO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCO advanced for three days, in of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MCO as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MCO moved below its 50-day moving average on January 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MCO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 27, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MCO entered a downward trend on January 02, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (21.692) is normal, around the industry mean (5.562). P/E Ratio (45.119) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.442). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.347) is also within normal values, averaging (2.610). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.255) is also within normal values, averaging (113.078).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 11.67B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13 to 928.5B. PKRSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 928.5B. The lowest valued company is BFCH at 13.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was 18%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 17%, and the average quarterly price growth was 32%. PIHG experienced the highest price growth at 2,450%, while BETSF experienced the biggest fall at -83%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was 28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 56%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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