MNST stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Monster Beverage is a leader in the energy drink category within the nonalcoholic ready-to-drink beverage market, generating two thirds of revenue in the US and Canada... Show more
Why Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Is Down -10% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- MNST declined approximately -10% over the past 30 days amid post-earnings selloff, underperforming the consumer staples sector.
- Over the past quarter, the stock fell around -5%, reflecting volatility after peaking near all-time highs in late February.
- Key drivers include concerns over rising aluminum costs, tariffs, and margin pressures despite strong Q4 sales growth.
- Broader consumer staples sector showed resilience, with ETFs like XLP gaining, highlighting MNST-specific headwinds.
- International sales momentum and innovation pipeline remain supportive, but cost inflation weighed on sentiment.
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Overview and Portfolio Exposure
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is a leading player in the non-alcoholic beverages industry, primarily known for its Monster Energy drinks. As a single-stock entity rather than a traditional ETF, MNST represents focused exposure to the energy drink segment within consumer staples. The company develops, markets, and distributes energy drinks, concentrates, and related products globally, with Monster Energy as its flagship brand.
MNST's portfolio centers on high-growth energy beverages, including core Monster Energy, Reign Total Body Fuel, and strategic brands. It has significant international exposure, accounting for about 42% of recent quarterly sales. Sector allocation is heavily tilted toward beverages (non-alcoholic), with minimal diversification into other assets. This concentrated structure amplifies sensitivity to consumer trends, input costs like aluminum, and competitive dynamics in the energy drink market, explaining recent price volatility tied to earnings commentary on costs and tariffs.
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, MNST has declined by approximately -10%, trading in a volatile, downward trend from highs near $87 to around $74. The movement was sharp post-Q4 earnings, with steady selling pressure amid broader market rotation out of growth-oriented consumer names.
For the past quarter, the stock is down about -5%, reflecting a peak in late February followed by a correction. Performance was trend-driven upward early in the period on anticipation, then range-bound and volatile with a bearish bias after earnings. This contrasts with steadier gains in defensive peers.
What Drove MNST Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst for MNST's -10% drop was a post-earnings selloff following Q4 2025 results on February 26, despite beats on sales ($2.13B, +17.6% YoY) and EPS ($0.51 adjusted). Investors focused on forward risks: elevated aluminum can costs via higher Midwest premiums, tariff impacts, and rising operating expenses (up 21.4% YoY). Gross margins held at 55.5% but faced offsets from promotional allowances and input inflation.
Consumer staples sector strength, with XLP up notably, amplified relative underperformance. No major company-specific negative news emerged, but sentiment shifted on margin compression fears and international mix lowering blends. Trading volume surged on pullbacks, confirming bearish conviction in the short term.
What Drove MNST Performance Over the Last Quarter
MNST's quarterly -5% decline masked early strength, with shares rallying to $87.38 all-time high on Q4 anticipation amid robust sales momentum (full-year +10.7%). International growth (26.9% in Q4, 42% of sales) and Monster Energy segment (+18.9%) drove upside, supported by pricing power and innovation.
The downturn post-earnings reflected macroeconomic pressures like inflation and tariffs, plus sector rotation into deeper defensives. Institutional flows remained positive longer-term, but short-term profit-taking dominated amid elevated valuations (P/E ~38x). Cumulative impact: growth offset by cost headwinds and sentiment shift.
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MNST ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should monitor aluminum prices and Midwest premiums, as they directly impact cost of goods sold. Tariff developments and supply chain dynamics in APAC could pressure H1 margins. Sector performance in consumer staples, particularly versus defensives like XLP, will influence relative flows.
Track Monster Energy volume trends, international market share gains (EMEA, OSP), and Alcohol Brands turnaround efforts. Upcoming Q1 earnings commentary on pricing flexibility and innovation pipeline (e.g., new flavors) remains key. Broader macro factors include inflation data, consumer spending in beverages, and competitive moves from peers like CELH.
Disclaimer
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MNST's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MNST turned positive on April 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where MNST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MNST's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MNST as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MNST advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for MNST crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MNST declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MNST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MNST entered a downward trend on April 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MNST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.025) is normal, around the industry mean (6.754). P/E Ratio (39.273) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.741). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.199) is also within normal values, averaging (26.011). MNST's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (9.042) is also within normal values, averaging (3.665).
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General Information
a holding company with interests in markets and distributes energy drinks
Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic