MOGU MOGU Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MOGU in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on December 06, 2024

MOGU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 42 cases where MOGU's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOGU just turned positive on December 13, 2024. Looking at past instances where MOGU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 65 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MOGU moved above its 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MOGU crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 05, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOGU advanced for three days, in of 200 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MOGU as a result. In of 125 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for MOGU moved below the 200-day moving average on December 09, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

The Aroon Indicator for MOGU entered a downward trend on December 17, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MOGU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.251) is normal, around the industry mean (4.631). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (60.432). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.812). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.048) is also within normal values, averaging (5.721).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOGU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.