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MSEX Stock Middlesex Water (MSEX, $68.61) price may drop as it broke higher Bollinger Band on Nov 06, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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MSEX - Middlesex Water Company
Bollinger signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
Bollinger signal
Price: $68.61
Daily change: +$1.76 (+2.63%)
Daily volume: 132.3K
Capitalization: $1.2B
Industry: Water Utilities
This price move could be a signal that MSEX may fall back below the higher band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 43 similar cases where MSEX's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

MSEX in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024

MSEX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 43 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 56 cases where MSEX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 19, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSEX as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSEX turned negative on November 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSEX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

MSEX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MSEX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSEX advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 224 cases where MSEX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MSEX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MSEX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.159) is normal, around the industry mean (2.091). P/E Ratio (29.114) is within average values for comparable stocks, (788.724). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (301.186). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.501) is also within normal values, averaging (6.716).

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General Information

an operator of regulated water utility and wastewater systems

Industry WaterUtilities

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Water Utilities
Address
485C Route 1 South
Phone
+1 732 634-1500
Employees
350
Web
https://www.middlesexwater.com