MTBA Simplify MBS ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MTBA sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

MTBA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 18, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 16 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MTBA moved out of overbought territory on September 18, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 26 cases where MTBA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTBA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MTBA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTBA as a result. In of 32 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTBA advanced for three days, in of 141 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 139 cases where MTBA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .